Tag Archives: election campaigns

Two Things to Take Away From the Recent Poll Failure? in Alberta

April 24, 2012

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There will be much hand wringing, considerable hyperbole, and lots of pseudo theories/ explanations for why the polls did not foresee the Conservative majority coming in the 2012 Alberta provincial election. Some attention will inevitably be placed on the methodological rigour of the polling methods but the size of the difference between the polls and the outcome is stunning. […]

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Voting Early is Not a Sign of Electoral Health

November 18, 2011

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During the last Canadian federal election campaign, there was considerable speculation about the large increase in turnout at the advance polls. At the time I speculated that the media and other commentators were wrong in suggesting the increase was a product of the campaign (e.g. greater interest). I thought I would revise the issue and see if we […]

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