Tag Archives: election

Laurier Institute Updates Seat Projections for Ontario Election

October 5, 2011

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With polling data indicating that the Liberals have gained voter support (Nanos has the Liberals at 38% in polling over the past three days), the Laurier Institute is now predicting the Liberals are likely to do 7 seats better than the prediction released on Monday. New Projections indicate that the seat distribution will be: Conservative: […]

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Should political polls be held to a higher standard?

September 26, 2011

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Anyone looking for a good glimpse into the state of the market research industry need look no further than the Open Letter penned by two senior members of Ipsos Reid and the coverage of how other professionals have responded. It shows that (a) the accuracy of political polls continues to be central to both our […]

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And What Did We Learn from the Campaign?

May 5, 2011

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Before the campaign, I speculated on three things we might learn from the election campaign. So, now we need to assess how the campaign enlightened us. Does anyone care? Not enough do. The (preliminary) voter turnout, according to Elections Canada, is 61.4% of registered voters. This is up from the last election when turnout fell […]

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Voting in Advanced Polls… Scepticism about its Meaning

April 27, 2011

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The dramatic (35% increase over the last election) in the number of voters who cast their ballots at the advanced polls plays very well into a story about how the election has energized the public and engaged them in our democracy. While this could account for a small proportion of the increase, a caution is […]

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Pollsters, Are You Ready for Your Exam?

March 25, 2011

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The dropping of the writ signals the start of the election campaign but it also starts an exam period for pollsters.  The major exam question is known: how close did you get to the election outcome? But there are minor questions, which are as important, and include: Will there be a polling controversy? Will the polls be […]

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